2018 MLB Play-Offs
Record 19-14-1 (+5.75u)
October 28, 2018
Red Soxs / Dodgers Under 7 1/2 -110 (1.1u to win 1) WON
The Red Soxs are one win away from the World Series and hand the ball over to David Price who has been ever bite the all-star expected the last 2 starts. Dodgers hand the ball to their Ace, Kershaw. If they want anyone pitching tonight you would think it would be him. Kershaw looks to bounce back from a weak Game 1 performance. I expect more of a Game 3 tightly played contest.
October 27, 2018
***Update – 4:25pm
Pomeranz scratched, original bet voided
Red Soxs +135 with Eduardo Rodriguez pitching
Still a 2 unit play
Red Soxs +140 (2u to win 2.8u) WON
After a marathon 18 inning game where game 4 starter Nathan Eovadi had to pitch 6 innings in relief, the Red Soxs hand the ball to Drew Pomeranz. Pomeranz did not pitch in the ALCS and last saw action against the yankees in the wild card round. Alex Cora is hoping this rested arm can save his bullpen. The Dodgers used 8 relief pitchers last night and now look for Rich Hill to do the same. You have to wonder which manager will look to preserve their bullpen knowing game 5 will be 24 hours later. I don’t expect the Red Soxs offence to be held to only 2 runs again.
October 26, 2018
Red Soxs +135 (1u to win 1.35) LOST
Red Soxs -1 1/2 +260 (0.5u to win 1.3u LOST
Red Soxs / Dodgers Over 7 1/2 +105 (1u to win 1.05u) LOST
I can’t put money on the lesser team, even if they’re are playing at home. The Red Soxs are the best team in baseball period. Soxs are 5-0 on the road in the playoffs. Walker Buehler hasn’t been able to duplicate his great regular season. He is 0-1 with an over 5 ERA in his 3 playoff starts. Soxs should get to Buehler early and often and look to put the dodgers on the brink of elimination.
October 24, 2018
Red Soxs -140 (1.4u to win 1) WON
The Red Soxs look every bite of the team that had the best regular season record last night. They got to Kersahw early in the first inning and Eduardo Nunez had the first World Series pinch hit home run. This team seems to be able to win in every which way possible. David Price finally had a signature playoff performance during his last outing. Price went 6 strong, striking out 9 and only giving up 3 hits against the Astros is the deciding game 5 in Houston. On the Dodgers side, Ryu was lite up against the Brewers in his last start, game 6 of the NLCS. Gave up 5 runs in just 3 innings. Up and down the rosters, the Red Soxs are better in every aspect and that showed last night. Look for the Red Soxs to leave Boston up 2-0.
October 23, 2018
Dodgers / Red Soxs Under 7 ½ -120 (1.2u to win 1) LOST
We have a 500 million dollar world series. These teams are stacked and their spending is defiantly paying off. Game 1 of the World Series sees ace vs ace as many expected. Clayton Kershaw vs Chris Sale. Kershaw pitched the last inning in game 7 of the NLCS, Chris Sale hasn’t pitched since game 1 of the ALCS, missed his scheduled game 5 start with a mystery illness. Now both are ready to throw on the biggest stage in the game. Runs are hard enough to come by in the playoffs, with these 2 on the hill, they should be harder. Kershaw is trying to kill the ghost of playoffs past, with 2 dominant playoff performances this year, but one horrible one. If Kershaw can get in a rhythm early, the Red Soxs could find base runners at a premium. The Dodgers are 5-3-2 to the under this playoffs. I expect game 1 to be tightly contested and runs be hard to come by.
October 20, 2018
Brewers -110 (1.1u to win 1) LOST
Dodgers / Brewers Under 7 1/2 -115 (1.15u to win 1) WON
Jhoulys Chacin has been lights out these play-offs. He has defiantly established himself as the Brewers ace. He went 5.1 innings, only giving up 3 hits and striking out 6 in game 3 of this series. The Rookie Walker Buehler gets the nod for the Dodgers, he hasn’t been as sharp these playoff as he was during the regular season. I don’t expect manager Dave Roberts to give Buehler a long leash and will take him out the first sight of trouble. This has the making of a low scoring game 7.
October 19, 2018
Brewers +100 (1u to win 1) WON
After a wild mind trick in Game 5, Miley will start again in Game 6. Miley faces just one batter in game 5 in a play where Craig Counsell was trying to get in Dave Roberts head as he adjusted his line up to account for Miley’s Cutter. Dodgers got the last laugh however and won game 5 and now one game away from another World Series trip. The Brew Crew are 54-31 at home this year, 3-1 in the playoffs. I expect the Brewers to prolong this series and force a Game 7.
October 18, 2018
Astros RL +110 (1u to win 1.1) LOST
Red Soxs / Astros Over 7 1/2 (1.25u to win 1) LOST
This series has gone over in every game so far and i will bet this trend continuing. Also, This is one of my take the playoff team playing against David Price. This time he’s opponent in the Astros, who are averaging 5 runs a game this series. Price gave up 4 runs in 4.2 innings of work in game 2. I don’t see the Astros losing all 3 at home and being eliminated tonight.
October 17, 2018
Brewers / Dodgers Over 7 -115 (1.15u to win 1) PUSH
I’ll continue to bet over these totals of 7. Play-off Kershaw showed up game 1 and I’m convinced he will show up this afternoon. Miley is pitching on 3 days rest. I like the over here
Red Soxs +130 (1u to win 1.3) WON
The Red Soxs seem to have everything going their way the last 2 games. Charlie Morton hasn’t pitched in the post season yet, as the Astros swept the Indians in the divisional series, so it’s been 17 days since his last start, were he only went 3 innings against the Orioles. Now he has to dust off a little rust and face the best offense in baseball. The Astros used 6 relief pitchers in last nights loss. You have to wonder how long the leash will be for Morton and how many innings are available today in that Astros bullpen. I’ll take the Red Soxs to take a commanding lead in the series tonight.
October 16, 2018
Red Soxs +110 (1u to win 1.1) WON
Red Soxs / Astros Over 8 1/2 +100 (1u to win 1) WON
These teams split the 2 games in Boston. The Red Soxs manufactured a few late runs to put game 2 away. Keuchel last pitched against Boston in September and gave up 5 runs in 6 innings and took the 6-5 loss. On the other side is Nathan Eovaldi, who last pitched against the Astros as a member of the Rays in June. He gave up 4 runs and took the lost in 5-1 game. These offenses have gotten to this pitchers this season. The first 2 games in this series have gone over. I expect both teams to score 4+ runs and the Red Soxs to pull off the win and take back home field advantage.
October 15, 2018
Brewers RL +1 1/2 -150 (1.5u to win 1) WON
Both games in Milwaukee were decided by one run. This entire series will be tightly played. Jhoulys Chacin has been lights out for the Brewers lately. He gave up just one hit in the divisional tie breaker game against the cubs, then no runs in game 2 of the NLDS against the Rockies. He recorded the win in both starts. Not many are pitching as well as Chacin at the moment. He will do his part to keep the Brewers in this game. Buehler for the dodgers gave up 5 runs in 5 innings against the Braves in his first career playoff start. The Brewers will keep this game close and i would really look at them straight up for the win.
October 14, 2018
Red Soxs +115 (2u to win 2.3) WON
Astros / Red Soxs Over 8 -115 (1.15u to win 1) WON
The Astros took Game 1 7-2, i find it hard to picture the Red Soxs losing both games at home. Even if playoff David Price is starting. The offence needs to over come his sort comings in the post season. This has the making of a 5-4, 6-5 game tonight.
October 13, 2018
Dodgers / Brewers Over 8 1/2 (1.05u to win 1) LOST
Gio only went 2 innings last night, planned or not, that puts presser on Wade Miley to have a quality start and perserve the bullpen. Miley hasn’t gone past the 5th inning since September 4th against the cubs. The Brewers scored 5 runs (4 earned) against Kershaw last night, proving once again they can score on anyone. I expect at least another 5-4 type of score this afternoon
Astros / Red Soxs Over 7 -115 (1.15u to win 1) WON
These 2 offenses are going to be hard for any pitcher to keep off the board in this series. 7 or Unders will be instant over bets in the series. Sale gave up 2 runs in Game 1 of the ALDS in 5.1 innings. In a surprising move he came in, in a relief appearance on Tuesday as the Soxs eliminated the Yankees. Verlander on the other hasn’t pitched in 7 days as the Astros swept the Indians in the other ALDS. The Astros averaged 7 runs a game in that series. I’ll take the over in Game 1.
October 12, 2018
Brewers +1 ½ -125 vs Dodgers (1.25u to win 1) WON
Getting a run at a small price with the home team is great value. The Brewers were 53-30 at home and 2-0 in these play-offs.
Dodgers / Brewers Over 7 ½ +100 (1u to win 1) WON
10 Weeks ago, these teams played in a wild 4 game series in Los Angeles. Brewers won the first 2, 5-2 and 1-0, then the Dodgers won the last 2, 6-4 and 21-5. Talk about 2 series in 1. Gio Gonzalez was not on the Brewers at this time, hence did not pitch. Gio had 5 starts as a Brewer after being trading from the Nationals. He is 3-0 as a Brewer and 3 of those 5 games went over the number. He has only appeared in 6 playoff games, he has no decisions and an ERA over 4.50. The Dodgers have had 3 days of rest since beating out the Braves and their bats should be ready.
October 9, 2018
Red Soxs / Yankees Over 9 -105 (1.05u to win 1) LOST
In a wild game last night that saw a utility player pitch in a game, the Red Soxs won 16-1. Today in a quick turnaround, Rick Porcello and CC Sabathia take to the hill. 2 of the first 3 games went over and the under only stayed under by 1 run. It’s hard to keep these offenses down.
October 8, 2018
Indians -115 (1.15u to win 1) LOST
Dallas Keuchel struggled down the stretch, with an ERA over 6 in his last 3 starts. Where on the other side Mike Clevinger has been consistently good all season. The Indians are looking to avoid the sweep and stay alive in these playoffs. Including last years World Series win, the Astros are only 3-8 in their last 11 road games.
October 7, 2018
Rockies -160 (1.6u to win 1) LOST
Rockies are a different team in the friendly confines of Coors Field. They will avoid the sweep today at win one at home.
October 6, 2018
Indians / Astros Over 7 -125 (1.25u to win 1) LOST
The Astros got to Kluber in as the went through the line up 2nd and 3rd times. It’s hard to keep either one of these batting orders off the scoreboard. Verlander was able to hold the Indians in check, but that’s going to be a hard task to do two games in a row, even as good as Cole has been. In the 8 games this year these teams have played, the over has hit 6 times.
Yankees / Red Soxs Over 9 -105 (1.05u to win 1) LOST
Looking at David Prices’s play-off numbers, and this is a must play. Price has an ERA over 5 in 17 playoff appearances. Tanaka has been pretty bad himself in his last few starts, an ERA over 5 in his last 3 games. Last night these 2 teams put up 9, with these 2 on the hill, 9 should be no problem.
October 5, 2018
Indians +1 1/2 -160 (1.6u to win 1) LOST
What a great match up to start this series, Corey Kluber vs Justin Verlander. Verlander’s playoff petigreee speaks for itself. The Indians have a healthy line up, up and down the order. This game will be close as expected.
Brewers -155 (1.55u to win 1) WON
The brewers are just finding ways to win. They win every way possible. They went the reliever route game 1 and now hand the ball back to Jhoulys Chacin. Chacin went 5.2 innings in Chicago on Monday and just gave up the one home run hit to Rizzo. Brewers are 3-0 in is last 3 starts. I have no issue laying the juice here.
Yankees / Red Soxs Over 7 1/2 -115 (1.15u to win 1)
These offenses are explosive. Yankees have played to the over in 10 of their last 11. The Red Soxs have played to the over in 9 of their last 11. It’s a big task for any elite pitcher to shutdown these offfense. This could be a 4 1/2 hour 6-5 game at the end.
October 2, 2018 – NL Wild Card Game – Under 7 -110 (1.1u to win 1)
Both teams lost their divisional tie breaker game yesterday and now must play in one game NL wild card game today, winner heads to Milwaukee Thursday. These games are usually played very tight. It’s hard to pick a side in this game as both teams seem to struggle at the plate at times. The Rockies aren’t the same Rockies away from Coors Field and the Cubs just aren’t hitting recently. But let’s gey away from the offense and look at the starters. Both Kyle Freeland and Jon Lester have been great recently. Lester is 3-0 with a 1 ERA in his last 3 starts, while Freeland started 33 games this season and kept his ERA under 3. This should be a great closely played game. Don’t be surprised if it’s 2-1 for either team.
October 1, 2018 – NL Divisional Tie-Breaker
Brewers +110 (1u to win 1.1)
Taking the team with the better pitcher this afternoon. Jhoulys Chacin has had an amazing season, and has been much better than Jose Quintana as of late. The winner of this game will get home field advantage in the divisional round while the loser will have to play the loser of tonight’s game between LA and Colorado in the NL one game wild card game. That is a huge motivational factor in which I’m surprised the cubs are handing the ball to Quintana. In his last 3 starts Quintana hasn’t gotten past the 5th inning nor won a game. It’s easy to take the better pitcher in these play off games especially when they are underdogs.
2018 Regular Season
Post All-Star 7-16-2 (-8.3u)
Pre All-Star Game Record… 63-50-1
August 28, 2018
Mariners -115 (1.15u to win 1)
Felix Hernandez’s brief stint in the bullpen appears to be over. He will take the hill against the Padres and Jacob Nix. The Mariners are watching their play-off hopes dwindle with every passing day. They sit 4 ½ games back of the A’s for the final wild card spot going into tonight’s game. The Mariners were happy to leave Safeco field and travel down south, the Mariners are 7-3 in their last 10 road games. On the flip side, everyone seems to like playing the Padres in San Diego, Padres are 5-22 in their last 27 games. This is as close to a must win game as the Mariners are going to have every night. I’ll look for the King to have a strong outing and the Mariners win this game.
Rays / Braves Under 8 ½ -120 (1.2u to win 1)
Julio Teheran has looked every bite of the all-star he was last season in his last 3 games, 1-0 1.80. Both teams are under machines as of late, The Rays are 8-1 to the under in their last 9 road games and the Braves are 11-1 to the under in their last 12 games overall. I’m not going to over think this one and hit the under.
August 22, 2018
Phillies +140 (1u to win 1.4)
FStrasburg has been erratic this year to say the least. Coming off another stint on the DL, he has to face a Phillies team pushing to the play-offs. The Nats have all but given up on this year, and some are surprised Strasburg is even coming back. His last start he gave up 6 runs in 4.2 at home vs the Braves. I expect the Phillies to get to Strasburg early.
August 18, 2018
Giants RL -1 1/2 +110 (1u to win 1.1)
Madison Baumgarner takes to the mound against the Votto-less Reds. On the other side is Matt Harvey who has not been good as of late, with an over 5 ERA in his last 3 games. The reds will be hard pressed to score any runs, and I don’t expect the Giants to stay quiet for back to back nights.
Diamondbacks -140 (1.4u to win 1)
Arizona has absolutely dominated San Diego in the past 10 games, winning 8 of the last 10 and 7 of those 8 by at least 2 runs. I’m not going to over think this game. Bet the Diamondbacks.
August 15, 2018
Pirates +100 (1u to win 1)
Chris Archer is making his third start with the Pirates, 1-0 with a no decision so far. This is his first start with the Pirates in an American League ballpark and won’t have to worry about batting. The pirates are slowly watching the playoffs slip away as they sit 5 games behind the second wild card spot (Phillies). They can’t really afford to lose to lesser teams like the Twins today and get swept in this mini 2 game series. I expect the Pirates take this last game of their 9 game road trip.
August 14, 2018
Mets / Orioles Over 9 1/2 -115 (1.15u to win 1)
Just a match up of bad pitchers, Jason Vargas and Andrew Cashner. They have been even worse in their last 3 starts respectively. The Mets tagged Severino last night. The offenses never showed up in New York the last time these 2 teams meet. That is defiantly not the norm. I’ll watch the offenses hit these pitchers all over the field.
Rockies / Astros Over 7 -120 (1.2u to win 1)
Games in which Justin Verlander pitches have gone over the number in 5 of his last 7 starts. Including his last outing in which he gave up 6 runs in just 2 innings of work. The rockies have also been hitting well away from Coors field and have played to the over in 8 of their last 11 road games. 7 is a nice low number and is almost all based on Verlander taking the mound. Verlander hasn’t been great as of late and both teams can score. Take the over.
August 13, 2018
NY Yankees RL -1 1/2 +110 (1u to win 1.1)
Jacob deGroom is making the record books for all the wrong reasons. With a 2.14 ERA, deGroom’s Record remains under .500 (6-7), he he just gets no run support and the Mets are 9-14 in his starts. The Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 and look cemented in the first wild card spot in the AL. The Yankees have owned this match up as of late, winning 7 of the last 9 against the Mets. As good as deGroom has been, the team behind him has not. The Yanks should continue to roll at home.
Giants / Dodgers Under 7 -110 (1.1u to win 1)
The match up fans of the NL West pine for, Madison Bumgarner vs Clayton Kershaw. Both have been as expected, especially lately. Bumgarner with a 1.35 ERA in his last 3 and Kershaw 2-0 2.29 in his last 3. This game should feel like an early playoff game and played as such. My favourite star entering this game, The dodgers have played to the Under in 25 of the 34 games Kershaw has pitched against the Giants (25-7-2). I look for a 3-1 game tonight.
August 12, 2018
A’s / Angels Under 9 -115 (1.15u to win 1)
The total moves a full run with the change of pitcher, Taylor Cole making his first career start for the Angels. The Angels sit 10 games behind the A’s for the final wild card spot today, they can not allow this game to get away from them. The first 2 games of this series, saw 7 runs a game scored. Trevor Cahill has been lights out lately, 3-0 3.71 and will look to continue his dominance on the hill. The A’s should win this, but I expect I closer low scoring game.
August 10, 2018
Rays / Blue Jays Under 8 1/2 -110 (1.1u to win 1)
Blake Snell has been phenomenal most of the season with a 12-9 Record and 2.27 ERA. The Rays have played to the Under in over 50% of their games. These 2 teams have only had one game in their first 6 go over the number. This also includes a 2-1 game in May where Estrada went 6 innings strong. I don’t see a lot of runs in Toronto tonight.
Diamondbacks -135 (1.35u to win 1)
Clay Buchholz is hot as of late, 3-0 in his last 3 starts and an overall 5-1 for the year. Arizona is a surprising 8-3 in Cincinnati in the last 11 meetings between these 2 teams. The diamondbacks also took 2 of 3 earlier in Arizona. The reds are finally home after a brutal 2-7 road trip. Losing at this time of the year seems to be a hard thing to correct when your team is clearly out of the playoffs. I look for the diamondbacks to take advantage of a defeated Reds team.
August 9, 2018
Brewers -1 1/2 +115 (1u to win 1.15)
Brewers just seem to find ways to win when Guerra takes to the mound, winning 6 of the last 8 when he starts. The Brewers have also won 4 of the 5 games against the Padres this year, and only one of those games were decided by one run.
Red Soxs -1 1/2 +100 (1u to win 1)
20 runs, 20 runs scored in the last 2 games against these Toronto Blue Jays. The offense is clicking to say the least. Ryan Borucki pitched in Boston last month and gave up 7 runs (4 earned) in just 3 innings. 10 runs can easily be scored by the Red Soxs again tonight. The Jays are just playing out the season and waiting for September call ups to see what they have in the farm. The Red Soxs should continue their dominance of the East.
August 8, 2018
Red Soxs -1 1/2 +115 (1u to win 1.15)
Stroman was able to keep the Red Soxs in check most of the game, but once he left the game, the wheels feel off. 4 Runs in the 8th gave the Red Soxs a lead, then the Blue Jays came back only to give up a 5 spot to the Soxs in the 10th. I’m not sure there’s anyone that thinks Mike Hauschild, who is making his first career start, can do what Stroman did last night. The Red Soxs score early and often and continue their dominance over the Blue Jays this season.
August 7, 2018
Red Soxs -110 (2.2u to win 2)
The Red Soxs are coming off a big 4 game sweep of the Yankees and sit with the best record in all of baseball. The Red Soxs have owned this match up recently as well, 8-2 in the last 10. Drew Pomeranz isn’t having the best season and has really struggled as late but it’s not as if Marcus Stroman has showed any indication he can hold this offensive line up in check. If I can get the MUCH better team at almost a pick’em, I will take that bet every time.
Dodgers / A’s Under 8 -110 (1.1u to win 1)
The dodgers have gone under the number in 7 of their last 10 games. Both pitchers are having better than good seasons and are pitching well of late, Rich Hill is 2-0 and 0.95 in his last 3, Sean Manaea is 10-7 3.38 on the season. Both pitchers can keep these offenses in check. Neither pitcher pitched in the mini 2 game series in April.
August 5, 2018
Yankees / Red Soxs Under 9 -115 (1.15u to win 1)
The Sunday night showdown that ESPN loves so much, the New York Yankees at the Boston Red Soxs. This recent series started with a bang with 22 runs on Thursday and then the last 2 games have had 5 each. Both pitchers have been dynamite of late, Tanaka 2-0 0.84 in his last 3 starts and Price 2-0 1.71 respectively. I like my Sunday night unders and this one is no exception. I look for the pitchers to take over tonight.
July 28, 2018
Cubs / Cardinals Under 8 1/2 -110 (1.1u to win 1)
Division rivals square off with 2 of their better pitchers on the mound, Jose Quintana 9-6 3.87 vs Miles Mikolas 10-3 2.82. This should be a tightly played one run type of game.
July 27, 2018
Phillies -110 (1.1u to win 1)
The Reds are sliding and 2-6 in their last 8 including a 9-4 loss last night to these and Phillies. The Phillies find themselves a top the NL with a 2 1/2 game lead over the Braves and a surprising 7 over the Nationals. The Phillies need to win these games as the Nats will look to make up ground with a weekend series in Miami. The Phillies will try to get to DeSlafanu early (last 2 outings have been 4.1 and 3.1 innings) and get that reds bullpen in the game who they were able to hit 4 home runs off of. The Phillies should be able to give Pivetta the run support he needs to win this game.
July 26, 2018
Brewers / Giants Under 8 -110 (1.1u to win 1)
The giants have been an under machine as of late. 18-7-1 in their last 26 to the under. Both pitchers Miley (1-1 1.56 since joining the brewers) and Rodriguez (5-1 2.72) have been very good lately. Both teams have played to the Under in more than 50% of their games on the season. I’ll take the Under tonight.
July 25, 2018
Phillies +125 (1u to win 1.25)
Jake Arrieta is 2-0 in his last 3 starts and the Phillies have won his last 4. The Phillies are playing well as of late at home, 7-2 in their last 9. After playing 16 innings last night, Walker Buehler will be leaned on to go deep into this game, however he hasn’t gone into the 6th inning in his last 3 starts. I’m loving the Phillies to win the rubber match this afternoon at home as a plus dog.
July 24, 2018
Red Soxs -1 1/2 +110 (1u to win 1.1)
The best team in the league takes on one of the worst. Neither pitchers have been ‘good’ this season, but the Soxs should enjoy facing Yefry Ramirez tonight. The stat that Jumped our to me was, The Red Soxs are an astonishing +20.04 on run line bets. I’ll take the Red Soxs to win by 2 tonight.
July 23, 2018
Braves / Marlins Over 8 -115 (1.15u to win 1)
Newcomb has been brutal as of late (0-3 9.75) in his last 3 starts and on the other side of the diamond is Jose Urena (2-9 4.39 on the season) is barely serviceable this season. The braves seem to be an over machine on the road, 17-5 in the last 22 road games. Both teams have hit the over in more than 50% of their games on the entire season. I will take the over on a relatively modest 8.
July 17, 2018
American League -135
American League RL +155
The American League has just dominated the all-star game as of late, Winning the last 5. The AL is just the better team on paper. Not over thinking these 2 Plays.
July 15, 2018
The Nationals have been one of the more disappointing teams this year. They need to end the first half of the season on a winning note. Corey Oswalt does not appear to be major league ready. He is gaining the necessary experience, but every time he takes to the hill it seems like he’s being thrown to the wolves. I like the Nationals this afternoon.
July 13, 2018
Jake Odorizzi has had 3 straight quality starts and looks to be trending in the right direction. The Twins have won 8 of their last 9 home games including a 5-1 victory last night against Blake Snell who has been the Rays ace this year. I’ll take the Twins at plus money to continue to roll at home.
Two struggling pitchers (Chatwood and Richard) take to the hill tonight in San Diego. The Cubs are 9-3 in their last 12 and find themselves chasing the Brewers. These are the games the Cubs need to win to keep pace. The much better team at a 30 cent price is a great deal in my mind. Take the Cubs here and fly the W.
I’m not buying into this years version of Edwin Jackson in an A’s jersey. He has looked good in his last 3 starts but I’m expecting the tires to fall off. These 2 teams tend to play to the over when they meet 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings. The giants are one of the better teams playing at home in the league, 30-17. I’ll take the Giants to win in front of their home crowd.
July 11, 2018
Orioles / Yankees Over 9 1/2
Gray vs Bundy, these 2 pitchers have atrocious numbers on the year, especially when you look at their last 3 starts. Gray has an ERA over 12 and Bundy Over 6. The last 3 games of this series have seen 32 runs scored. I’ll play the averages here and go over the number.
July 10, 2018
Aaron Slegers is making his second start tonight, he went 6 innings giving up 1 run against the woeful Orioles. The Royals are not much better than the Orioles and send an awful Ian Kennedy (1-8 5.11) to the mound. Twins won last night and 8 of the last 11 vs the Royals in Minnesota. -160 seems like a high price but I’ll take the low risk here.
July 9, 2018
Tigers / Rays Over 7 1/2
Chris Archer making his first start since coming off the DL for the Rays. Archer wasn’t great before landing on the DL (3-4 4.24). On the other side is Francisco Liriano (3-5 4.03) who is pitching to be another trade deadline aqusition. Both teams have surprisingly high ranked offenses, Rays (11th), Tigers (13th). I can see this game getting to 8 easily.
The Brewers have won the first 4 games of the season against the Marlins. They are also 6-1 in their last 7. Chase Anderson (6-6 3.99) takes to the hill and should be able to keep Milwaukee trucking along with wins.
July 7, 2018
Much like last night, Twins see themselves as a modest favourite at home against the leagues worst team. Gibson (2-6 3.58) hasn’t been great this year but should be enough to lead the Twins to a victory.
The Phillies have owned this match up thus far this season, winning all 5 games including last nights 17-5 game. Get this one before the line moves.
Rays / Mets Under 7
It took a walk off grand slam by Bautista before last nights game saw any real offense. Blake Snell (11-4 2.25) goes for the Rays against one of the leagues worst offenses. Might take another grand slam to get this game near the total.
July 6, 2018
Yankees RL -1 1/2 +105
The Blue Jays just played an ugly 2 game series with the Mets. Meanwhile, The Yankees won 2 of 3 against a surging Braves team. These are 2 teams having completely different seasons. Gaviglio went 7 scoreless innings against the Yanks on June 6th, now that there’s more video out on Sam, I suspect the Yankees to hit him all over the ballpark. They have averaged 4.6 runs in their last 10, they should easily surpass that number tonight.
-140 at home against the Orioles just seems to easy. The twins are just happy to be home after back to back sweeps at the hands of the Cubs and Brewers. The O’s are the worst team in the league and an obmismal 12-33 on the road. I’ll lay -140 with Lynn on the hill here for the Twins.
Zack Godley (9-6 5.07) looks to get the diamondbacks back into the W column after a loss last night to these padres. The Diamondbacks need to win these games to keep pace with the Dodgers who now sit in a tie for 1st.
July 5, 2018
Rangers / Tigers Over 9
Basically 2 teams with sub par pitchers starting and even worst bullpens. Gallardo with his 6.11 ERA on the season vs Boyd with his 9.69 ERA in his last 3 games. How this number opened at 10 moved to 9, makes no sense to myself.
Padres / Diamondbacks Over 8 1/2
Miller has not looked good so far in his first two starts this season. That being said, the padres (4-12) don’t often win in Arizona. I can see the Padres scoring early and often in this contest, but the diamondbacks matching them run for run.
July 4, 2018
Braves / Yankees Under 9 1/2
Just one of those Play the Under in a god pitching matchup. Teheran vs CC.
July 2, 2018
White Soxs / Reds Over 9 1/2
James Shields has been a gas can all year (3-9 4.29) and on the other side is Luis Castillo (5-8 5.85) who is t any better. White Soxs are 8-2 to the over in their last 10 and the Reds are 7-1 to the over with 2 pushes in their last 10. Should be lots of runs in this game.
June 30, 2018Diamondbacks -120
Shelby Miller making his second start of the season and I like this spot vs the Giants. The giants are just 4-6 in their last 10 road games, including a win last night, I don’t see a bad road team winning back to back games in Arizona.
June 29, 2018
Mets / Marlins Under 7 (Void) deGroom scratched from start
DaGrom has been great this season (5-3 1.69) but sees very little run support in his starts. Why would that change tonight? Sandy Alcantara is being called up for this start. Mets have the 25th ranked offense, Miami is even worse at 28. Let’s sit back and watch this 3-1 game.
June 28, 2018
Zack Greinke takes to the hill for this series finale, the diamondbacks have won the previous 2 games and should keep rolling in Miami. Arizona has been won of the more streaker teams this season with both wins and losing streaks of over 8 games. Wins come in bunches for Arizona.
Looking to avoid the sweep in this mini 3 game series, the Twins send out Jake Odorizzi who hasn’t been great as of late but has been better than his counterpart Lucas Giolito. The twins simply can’t afford to be swept by the White Soxs. I look for the twins to win an ugly one.
Brewers / Reds Over 9
The last series these 2 teams played saw the over hit 2 of the 3 games. Neither team has very good mid-relievers, therefore you can almost be sure of free runs when the starters are out of the game. The Reds averaged 5.5 runs in their last series against Atlanta.
June 27, 2018
Royals / Brewers Under 8
Both pitchers have been good as of late, Under 3 ERA in their last 3 games. KC are 11-1 to the Under in their last 11 interleague games. All 3 games between these 2 this season have played to the Under.
June 26, 2018
Yankees / Phillies Under 7 1/2Severino vs Arrieta should be a great game. Yankees are 10-1 to the Under on their last 11 road games. Last night the Phillies won 4-2, which stayed under the number.
Just playing the pitcher match up here. James Paxton (6-2 3.72) vs Kevin Gausman, the O’s are just 4-11 in Gausman’s starts this season.
This game took a while to have a posted line and I want to jump all over it early. Marlins send Elieser to the mound (0-4 5.12), I expect the diamondbacks to bounce back from a bad loss last night.
June 25, 2018
A’s / White Soxs Over 9 1/2 +100Edwin Jackson gets the call up today and will tie the record for most teams played for. Jackson has even been bounced around in the minors this season. His 4-3 3.53 ERA is nothing to put your money behind. On the other side is Jordan Zimmermann and his 4.95ERA. The Tigers are 7-3 to the over in his last 10 starts. I’ll sit and back and cheer for runs this afternoon.
Getting Gio and the Nationals at plus money jumped right off the board at me. The Nationals won the 2 earlier games this season in this match up. I’ll take the Nats to make it a 3rd in a row.
June 23, 2018
The Braves are 21-14 at home this season, including 6-2 in their last 8. The Braves are also 7-1 in Teherans last 8 starts. I don’t foresee another 10 run performance by the O’s this afternoon. I’ll take the better team at a small price.
I’m not about to buy into the streaking reds. It’s nice to see them put a few wins together, but this 5 game win streak ends today. Luke Ferrell making his first start of the season against Anthony DeSclafani (2-1 4.60). I’ll fly the W after this game.
June 22, 2018
Coming off series wins against the Red Soxs and Indians, The twins are starting to look like that ‘trendy’ play-off team people were talking about before the season. Now they get the Rangers coming into town where the Twins are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings. I expect the Twins to continue their hot play.
June 21, 2018
Red Soxs / Twins Under 9
Boston is 11-4 to the under in their last 15 games, The twins as well, Are 6-2-1 to the under in their last 9. These teams played to a 4-1 game last night. Wind will be blowing in this afternoon and looks to stay that way for most of the game. Porcello (9-6 3.70) and Gibson (7-7 3.27) should keep these batters at bay.
Rockies RL -1 1/2
The Mets are disaster this season, and seem unable to win in Colorado as of late
(2-7 in there last 9 at Coors). The last 2 games of this series have seen the Rockies win 10-8.
June 20, 2018
Braves / Blue Jays Under 8 1/2
Both Sanchez (3-0 1.93) and Happ (8-3 3.48) have been great at times this season, especially as of late. The jays are lacking any type of pop in their line up as of late, Happ should keep the Braves in check. I can easily see a 4-2 final.
Brewers / Pirates Under 8 PPD
This match up has played to the Under 19 of the last 27 meetings. The first 2 games of this series has been a combined 6 runs scored. Suter and Kuhl should be able to continue this trend.
June 19, 2018
Rays / Astros Over 7 -105
Both teams throw out their aces on to the hill today. Just 7 seems too low for a team in the Astros that have the line up that can easily bat around in an inning or two. Historically in this match up the over hits, 9-2 in the last 11 games these teams play against one another.
June 14, 2018
Twins / Tigers Over 9 -105
Michael Fulmer has been bad as of lately 0-2 5.51 in his last 3 starts. These teams tend to put up runs in Detroit, 8-1-1 to the over in the last 10 meetings in Detroit.
June 12, 2018
I’m backing Jake Odorizzi (3-3 4.24) here and the Twins over Detroit. The Twins seemed to be a ‘trendy’ pick to come out of the Central this year, they have drastically underachieved and disappointed. May couldn’t end soon enough it seemed like for Minny (13-15). June has seen them 6-10 including a sweep of the Indians. I’ll take Minny here as a pick’em
June 11, 2018
Red Soxs -120
Orioles are bad, just plain bad. This has never been more evident than this past weekend in Toronto. The Soxs need a bounce back series after losing 2 of 3 to Chicago. This is a great price here.
Diamondbacks -1 1/2 +150
The Diamondbacks are hot again, looking like the team from April again. 7-3 in their last 10. On the flip side you have the pirates who have lost 6 of 8.
June 10, 2018
Orioles / Blue Jays Under 9 -105
The first 3 games of this series stayed under the number, I expect the trend to continue. Estrada looked great in his last start against the Yankees and should keep the Orioles hitters quiet.
June 7, 2018
Rockies going for the sweep this afternoon. Picking the better team at a coin toss price here.
Cardinals -1 1/2 -110
Miles Mikolas (6-1 2.49) takes the Hill this afternoon to prevent the Cardinals from being swept by the Marlins. Mikolas has been a great surprise for the Cardinals this season. He should be able to give the Cardinals the quality start they need to prevent being swept at home.
June 6, 2018
Nationals -1 1/2 +130
Just betting on the better team at home here. Jonny Venters making his first career start here after being out of the Majors for 5 years prior to this season. I wouldn’t expect more than 4 innings from him. Nats cover the run line again.
Yankees -1 1/2 +110
Took a late grand slam for the Yankees to blow open the game last night. Estrada held them in check, then the bullpen just imploded. The jays are just treading water it seems like, it’s only a matter of time before they are down with the Orioles. There seems to be a countdown for Donaldson to be traded. This team lacks identity and should be beat handily by the Yankees here.
Twins -1 1/2 +110
The double header was split yesterday between these 2 teams. Tonight Ororizzi (5-7 4.14) takes the hill for the Twins, not the beats numbers but then you remember he’s facing the White Soxs, The 24th ranked offense, if that’s not bad enough the defense is 28th. Twins should roll over the White Soxs with ease.
Angels -1 1/2 -110
Ohtani (4-1 3.18) is living up to all the hype. How do you not beat this line when the on the side of the diamond is Ian Kennedy (1-6 6.08) and the Royals (21-40). This was as close to an automatic bet as I will ever make.
June 5, 2018
Nationals -1 1/2 (-110)
This just scream one of those dominant Max Scherzer 18 K’s game. The Rays rank 22nd in runs score, how can I expect them to score to Max. I’ll easily play -110 and watch the Nats win by more than 2.
The Mets need a team like Baltimore to come to Citi Field to get out of this funk. Vargas has looked better than Cobb as of late. The Mets have dominated this match up, 9-1 in the last ten.
Regional Tournaments (5-12)
June 4, 2018
Ole Miss (7pm) (LOST)
Ole Miss (1pm) 2 1/2 (LOST)
Florida / Florida Atlantic Over 11 1/2 (LOST)
Oklahoma / Mississippi St Over 10 1/2 (LOST)
South Carolina -2 1/2 (WIN)
June 3, 2018
Oklahoma St / South Florida Over 12 (LOST)
Army / NC State Over 8 1/2 (WIN)
Stanford / Baylor Over 9 (LOST)
June 2, 2018
Indiana / Texas Southern Over 9 1/2 (LOST)
Baylor -175 (WIN)
Auburn -4 1/2 (WIN)
Florida / Jacksonville St Over 10 1/2 (LOST)
June 1, 2018
Morehead St / Clemson Under 13 1/2 (LOST)
Stanford -3 1/2 (LOST)
Missouri St / Tenn Tech Under 14 (VOID)
Oral Roberts / Arkansas Over 10 1/2 (WON)
Army / NC St Over 10 1/2 (LOST)
Baylor -1 1/2 (LOST)
June 4, 2018
Lets call this the Derek Holland effect. I can never bet money on Derek Holland. If I can find a game where he is favourite (few and far between) I will always take the team he is facing. Diamondbacks took 5 of 6 on their home stand and now head back on the road. I’ll gladly take the D-backs on this line.
Vilanueva is the latest Padre to find himself on the DL. This now looks like one of the most enupt offensive line ups in the league. Braves tend to play well vs San Diego, 9-2 in the last 11 match ups. I’ll take the Braves on another small number here.
June 3, 2018
This is more of a fade of Aaron Sanchez than a bet on the Tigers. Sanchez looks like a shell of the 2016 Sanchez. 4.77 ERA on the season and over 7 in his last 3 starts. The Tigers scored 4 in 5 innings on Happ last night. The Tigers bat should continue this afternoon with Sanchez on the hill.
June 2, 2018
Well the Mets are the Mets lately. Even with DeGrom on the hill they shouldn’t be favourite against Chicago. Mets are 2-8 in DeGrom’s last 10 home starts. Cubs on a nice line here.Padres -110
Another Pick’em game here. The reds haven’t faired to well in San Diego as of late before last nights game. Last night was only the reds 4th win in their last 13 in San Diego. I do not expect the reds to win back to back games.
June 1, 2018
Cubs won last night 5-1 with Jose Quintana on the mound for 6 innings. Tonight they turn to Tyler Chatwood (3-4 4.10) on the other side is Zack Wheeler who has not been any better (2-4 5.40). Seems like there are more people on the Mets DL than on their roster. Mets are 2-6 in their last 8 and just sliding. I’ll take the cubs on a small number.
May 30, 2018
Blue Jays / Red Soxs Over 9 1/2 +105
The Jays are in a free fall. 4-12 in their last 16. The Red Soxs are 9-1 one Rodriguezs last 10 starts. This would look seem like a Red soxs play but -200 seems steep. The last 2 games of this series saw 11 runs in each game scored. I’ll bet this trend to continue, another 8-3 game wouldn’t be surprising at all.
May 28, 2018
The Nats are crazy hot on the road as of late 10-1 in their last 11 road games. Alex Cobb has been bad all year. I actually figured this line would be higher.
More of a bet against Homer Bailey than anything. 1-6 6.21 ERA. Arizona is finally home after a horrible 9 game road stint where they went just 1-8. Arizona needs some home cooking here and there is no better chef to get a team going than Homer Bailey.
May 26, 2018
Braves / Red Soxs Under 10 +100
Newcomb gets an extra days rest here as he makes his first start in his hometown Boston. Last night both starters had quality starts and it was the Braves bullpen that gave up late runs. I’ll take a double digit under at even money.
One of the streakest teams this season, after starting on a tear, the Diamondbacks were 1-9 in their prevoius 10 before last nights win. I’m betting on the diamondbacks to start another streak here. Clay Bucholz is making his second start with Arizona and looked good in a no decision vs New York earlier in the year. I’m taking the plus money here.
Bartolo Colon just had his 45th birthday this week and hasn’t looked anywhere near it to start the year (4-4 3.51). Meanwhile on the other side for the 17-34 Kansas City Royals, you have Ian Kennedy who has been lite up in his last 3 starts (0-2 10.91). I lay the juice with Colon and the home team.
Twins / Mariners Under 8 -110
Both pitchers Odorizzi and LeBlanc are off to great starts to the season. In the last 6 meetings, these teams have played to the under 5 times. I’ll bet on this trend to continue.
May 25, 2018
Astros / Indians Under 8
This is the second time in 6 days Keuchel and Kluber face off. 6 days ago Kluber got the best of this match up and the Indians won 5-4 (Total 7 1/2). Keuchel only went 5 innings and the Astros bullpen gave up 2 late runs that helped this number hit. I’m going back to the Under tonight with these 2 aces on the hill.
May 23, 2018
Luiz Gohara is making his first start on the road for 2018. 1-3 4.91 in 29.1IP in 2017, that isn’t a ton of work in the majors, this appears to be just be a spot start, So I don’t expect him to go deep into the game. Jake Arrieta (3-2 2.82) on the other side, his record should be better, but he just doesn’t get any run support. I’m looking to see this change today and the Phillies to tee off on Gohara and the braves. Take the Phillies before this line climbs.
May 22, 2018
New York Mets -115
The Mets are defiantly playing their best baseball of the year during this 4 game winning streak. Zack Wheeler takes to the hill Looking to extend that streak. I’ll take the hotter team in this game.
May 21, 2018
NY Mets -125
Elieser Hernandez is making only his second career start here. The Mets are coming off sweep of the NL west leading diamondbacks. The Mets are looking to continue this streak at home against a Marlins who have lost 3 of the last 4 including a 9th inning collapse 24 hours ago. Take the Mets here.
May 20, 2018
Indians / Astros Under 7 1/2 -110
Sticking with my Sunday night prime time unders here. Last nights Kluber vs Keuchel didn’t exactly live up to the dual I expected. Keuchel only lasted 5 innings. These teams play each other close most nights, I’ll take the Under.
May 19, 2018
Indians / Astros Under 7 -110
Kluber vs Keuchel. Easily could be a Game 7 ALCS Match-Up. Ace vs Ace. I expect a great pitching duel. Don’t over think, Play the Under.
May 18, 2018
Right now it seems that no one is hotter than the pirates. 8-1 in their last 9. Over achieving 26-17 on the season. The Padres have been trending in the other direction, 4-6 in their last 10. The pirates have dominated this match up at home, 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Pittsburgh.
May 17, 2018
Dodgers / Marlins Under 8 -120
This couldn’t be a worst time for a west coast team, 12:10pm EST. It has to be a routine nightmare. The dodgers are a shell of themselves from last season and as weird as this is to write, the Marlins are going for the sweep. Caleb Smith has put together a mini string of good outings recently. 2-1 1.00 ERA in his last 3 while Maeda has been rocky as of late. The Under is 8-2 in the last 10 games these teams have played. I’ll bet on this trend to continue.
Blue Jays -115
The Blue Jays rolled yesterday afternoon in New York to the tune of 12-1. The Jays have won 5 of 7 against Oakland in Toronto. Aaron Sanchez takes to the hill tonight looking to maintain their dominance at home against the A’s.
May 16, 2018
Blue Jays / Mets Over 7 1/2 +100
Both Happ and Wheeler have not looked particular good this season, especially in their last few starts. Both of ERA’s Over 5 in their last 3 starts. Last night these teams combined for 14 runs. I’ll take the over here this afternoon.
im not buying any of this Matt Harvey nonsense. He was a dismal in a Mets uniform to start the season, had a decent first start with the Reds against a struggling dodgers team. He still only went 4 innings. I’ll easily pay the -140 here on the giants.
May 15, 2018
Head to Toe, Up and Down, The Pirates are the better here. A small price to pay. Pirates are 7-1 in their last 8 at home. And well the White Soxs…. There isn’t much to say. 10-27 overall and last in almost every category. Pirates are the play here.
May 13, 2018
Nationals / Diamondbacks U8 1/2 +100
Playing the Sunday night prime time Under again. Nationals have played to the Under the last 5 games including the first 3 games of this series. No reason to bet against that trend. I’ll take the Under here.
May 12, 2018
Red Soxs / Blue Jays Over 9 1/2 -115
Neither Price or Estrada have looked good this season. Both have over 5.00 ERA’s. This will be a completely different game than last night. Look for both teams to bat around a few innings here.
Mariners Game 2 (vs Detroit) -130
The King takes the mound in the next game of this double header. Seattle looked good earlier in the week vs Toronto. While the tigers will be happy not to lose 100 games this season. I’ll take the Mariners at a relatively small price here.
May 11, 2018
Red Soxs -1 1/2 (RL) -110
Over the last 2 seasons the Red Soxs seems to own the Blue Jays in Toronto (21-8 in the last 29 in Toronto). The jays are struggling as of late at home, 2-6 in their last 8 at the Rogers Centre. Offensively and on the mound tonight, The Red Soxs have the edge in all departments. This could be another long night for blue jays fans.
May 9, 2018
Braves / Rays Under 8 -115
When I look at both these line ups, neither scream offense. Teheran (2-1 3.65) takes to the mound against a 15-18 Tampa Baby Rays team. The Under is 8-2 in Tampa’s last 10 games. Last night these teams played to a 1-0 game. I look for another low scoring game in this mini 2 game series.
May 8, 2018
Twins / Cardinals Under 8 -105
Riding this Under train again. Twins knocked around John Grant who was sent back to the minors after his appt start. Romero looked good over 6 innings. This is now 11 straight games to the Under these teams have played. Today the Cardinals send Carlos Martinez to the hill (3-1 1.40) against a twins team ranked 15th in the AL in total offense. I’ll take the Under here again.
May 7, 2018
Twins / Cardinals Under 8 1/2 -110
One stat jumped out at me here, Under is 10-0 in the last 10 meetings between these 2. Yeah they haven’t played since 2015, but why bet against this trend?
May 6, 2018
Angels / Mariners Under 8 1/2 -115
Didn’t want to over think this great pitching match up. Mariners fans feel slighted by Ohtani who they figured would sign in Seattle. Ohtani shows them everything they are missing as he duals with the King.
Cubs / Cardinals Under 8 +100
I regularly like to play the Sunday night prime time under. The cubs are 8-2 to the Under in their last 10 and 8-3-2 to the Under in Lester’s 13 stars against the cardinals.
May 5, 2018
Rockies / Mets Over 8 -115
Matz couldn’t get out of the 4th inning in his last start against St. Louis. Last night saw these 2 teams put up 15 runs after a wild 7 run 1st inning. There’s not much that wouldn’t lead me to believe this can happen again. Take the over and wait for that bat around open inning.
May 4, 2018
Red Soxs / Rangers Over 9
Balls seem to be flying out of Arlington this season. Red Soxs are 3-1 to the over in the last 4. The Rangers are 6-0-1 to the over themselves in the last 7. Head to Head this match up has gone over 4 times in the last 6 games.
April 30, 2018
Rangers / Indians Over 8 1/2
Dodgers / Diamondbacks Under 8
April 28, 2018
Jays / Rangers Over 9
April 27, 2018
April 25, 2018
Rockies -1 1/2
Twins / Yankees Over 9
April 22, 2018
Everyone keeps on expecting the diamondbacks to slide after their hot start. Not this guy! I expect them to roll against San Diego. Patrick Corbin (2-0, 1.25ERA) takes to hill for the final game of this series. Look for the diamondbacks to win.
April 20, 2018
The Indians defiantly benefit from a day off after the 16 inning marathon Wednesday night. Bauer and Buddy have both looked good to start the season, despite the losing records. Top to bottom the Indians have a better offense line up and at a small number -125, seems like an easy decision.
Cubs / Rockies Over 10
Despite the light showers expected at game time, the wind will be blowing out. These should be nice for a total of 10. The Rockies come home after a week long road trip. Look for some home cooking turning into lots of runs.
Rangers / Rays Over 7 1/2 -105
Going back to the well in this series. Last night, I had to sweat out and wait for the meaningless 9th inning run to hit, in the end it hit. I’ll take it. Cole Hamels does not look like the Hamels we expect to see on the mound this year, 1-3 4.50 ERA. On the other side you have Jake Faria and his 8.18 ERA. One or Two open innings and this number could hit early.
April 17, 2018
Rangers / Rays Over 8 1/2
Both teams have gone over the number in over 50% of their games so far. Matt Moore vs Yonny Chirinos doesn’t scream pitching duel.
April 15, 2018
O’s / Red Soxs Over 7
Looking for the Red Soxs to get to Buddy early and often.